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Norion on 24 August 2022
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The_Liquid_Laser said:
Norion said:

When do you think that'll happen?

I expect this to be the peak year for PS5 hardware sales.

IcaroRibeiro said:

Every quarter 

Laser is a cliff theorist. Means every month he will predict the PS5 collapse is just around the corner

I'll keep predicting until the end of 2023.  If I'm wrong I'll stop when PS5 and XBS reach 56m combined.  On the other hand, what if I'm right?  Will you apologize?  I'm offended that you are calling me a cliff theorist. My prediction doesn't come from nowhere.

I made a bet with curl-6 long before anyone else even cared about PS5 sales.  People think I'm saying this stuff because of bias, but I didn't single out PS5 until after the Gen 9 consoles were revealed.  My actual theory is that Switch is competing with the other two consoles.  Curl-6 says that they aren't.  That is what my bet with curl-6 is about.  By the end of 2023 we'll know who is right.

Norion said:

I really wonder if he'll keep it going into 2023.

I'll keep going until the end of 2023 or PS5+XBS = 56m (by VGChartz numbers), whichever comes first.

I don't get how you can go on about software selling hardware but think the PS5 will sell more this year than the year GTA 6 comes out. That, other big third party games and big first party ones are gonna push hardware hard in the next few years and it should be increasingly easy to get a PS5 from this point so things very strongly point to sales increasing, not decreasing.

Also we for sure won't have to wait till the end of next year to know who is right. PS5 + Xbox Series will surpass 40m soon and with stock significantly improved now and a holiday season coming up it'll for sure be over 50m in just a few months and in all likelihood over 56m before the 2nd half of 2023. My issue isn't that you're making wild predictions, it's that you're doubling down on them long after it's clear it's not gonna turn out that way. You should be able to look at the data and see that the PS5 + Xbox Series is currently almost the same as what the PS4 + Xbox One were at launch aligned and that the former have been selling more lately so instead of waiting for them to surpass 56m you should re-evaluate your predictions for this gen now since it's clear they're extremely off.

Last edited by Norion - on 24 August 2022