Sony no longer reporting PS4 shipments, Final Official total 117.00m

[Bofferbrauer2]

padib said:

Bofferbrauer2 said:

I'm sure many of them have had a look at the statistics and see that the chances that the PS5 outselling the PS4 would break some established trends.

Playstation + Xbox sales taken together have always amounted to ~175M each gen:

1. PS2+Xbox: 183M
2. PS3+360: 173M
3. PS4+XBO: 168M

Meaning if the Xbox is stronger, then the Playstation sells less as a result. Since the XS is selling much better than it's direct predecessor, unless this gen breaks with the model it established the 3 previous generations, PS5 should sell less than the PS4 did.

That being said, there are some unknowns that could alter this a bit: How long this generation will be can have an effect for instance, if there will be some mid-gen upgrades like the PS4 Pro last gen, and so on. So far, noting shows that this gen will deviate from the previous generations, but time will tell if this will stay the same.

Another thing to note is that the Playstation + Xbox total has been dropping a bit each generation. This trend will have to be reversed for there to be any chance for the PS5 to outsell the PS4 since the XS will almost certainly outsell the XBO.

Keep in mind that Nintendo has sealed its grip over Japan. If the PS5 manages to sell 40M in the US (unlikely), this would lead to between 8 and 9M in Japan for PS5.

So Nintendo is also to blame for Sony's reduced lead. If the PS4 was to finish at ~125M, it needed to be leader in Japan (116.98M + 10M).
PS1JP, PS2JP: ~20M
PS3JP, PS4JP:~10M

So you're saying that Sony's drop in Japan is due to Nintendo?

I think the reason is more that Sony more and more  emphasized the western markets and seemed to care less and less about the tastes of Japanese players. As such, the reason that Sony dropped in Japan is Sony itself, the only input Nintendo had was that they stayed on their course while Sony deviated from it.