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xMetroid said:

This forecast really points out that they will either get really aggressive on offers or they will launch a new revision in the FY. Cause the sales rn aren't trending towards only a 3 million decrease. So to raise their forecast from 20 to 21 for next FY is an incredible sign. Switch will be close to 130 millions a year from now. It will start slowing down more at that point, but still i feel like not reaching 150 millions is nearly impossible.

The decline this year was 5.76 million or 20% and this was mostly due to a disappointing Q2. The other quarters saw a slight decline but Q2 was a massive 3.03m or 44% down yoy (3.83m versus 6.86m). Nintendo really struggled to produce systems in Q2 but they seem to have rectified the supply problem. I think they will be close to flat in FY 22-23, I'm predicting 22 million.