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yo33331 said:

More like:

2022: 18-20M

2023: 10-14M

2024 and beyond: 6-10M combined

So around 140M lifetime. I can't see it much more than that.

So no, not even close to the estimated 158-160M PS2 units. In fact 20M short.

As for the successor of the Switch it will be either 2023 spring, 2023 holiday, or 2024 spring at latest. Either way Switch is making around something in the range of 135-145M lifetime.

At this point, a Spring 2023 successor will not happen or it would have already been announced formally.

Nintendo DS announced November 2003 and releases November 2004

Nintendo Wii announced (as Revolution) in 2004, released 2006.

Nintendo 3DS announced March of 2010 and released February 2011

Nintendo Wii U announced in April 2011 (as Wii successor), shown during E3 2011, released in 2012

Nintendo Switch announced as NX in 2015, in April 2016 they stated they planned to launch the system March of 2017, October 2016 they unveiled the console. 

Basically, Nintendo would have given us at the minimum a codename or an official announcement other than "we are always working on new hardware"