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yo33331 said:
deerox said:

I think it can. Switch had sold 103 million as of the end of 2021, so it only needs to sell another 53 million during the rest of it's life.

The sales of each calendar year might look like this:

2022: 22 million

2023: 18 million

2024 and beyond: 13 million

Doesn't seem impossible.

More like:

2022: 18-20M

2023: 10-14M

2024 and beyond: 6-10M combined

So around 140M lifetime. I can't see it much more than that.

So no, not even close to the estimated 158-160M PS2 units. In fact 20M short.

As for the successor of the Switch it will be either 2023 spring, 2023 holiday, or 2024 spring at latest. Either way Switch is making around something in the range of 135-145M lifetime.

I was expecting a Switch 2 release on March 2024, but now, I can see a new console most likely on March 2025. 

Nintendo is going to do a price cut when Switch production supasses demand, and even before that we can expect new bundles with free games.

Nintendo has all the damn cards: New Bundles, Price Cut, Unnanunced 2023/2024 Games from all the studios for one console ready for a future Nintendo Direct.