The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[Wman1996]

IcaroRibeiro said:

RolStoppable said:

This thread is now a week old and there has been hardly anyone who disagreed with Switch hitting 160m+ in its lifetime. That in and of itself is pretty telling how good the chances are.

I feel like this thread is already outdated. You should revise it to 170 million. The odds of Switch successor coming before 2025 became astonishing low so the only reasonable thing that could cause a cliff (a Switch 2 launching with BC) is not on sight, Switch is going be effortlessly the biggest system of all time, the real question now is how far it can go 

I wouldn't say it's astonishingly low for Switch 2 to come out before 2025. Nintendo is one of the most unpredictable gaming corporations out there. They basically let the Wii fall of a cliff after 2010, they took forever to get a successor for the Game Boy, they launched the DS as a third pillar but then made it an outright successor to the GBA, etc. And they waited until 2022-2023 to release DLC for Mario Kart 8 Deluxe, which is pretty much a GOTY enhanced port of a 2014 Wii U game. 

It's likely enough that we won't get Switch until March 2025, but it's not a given at all. Even with parts shortages still in 2022, Nintendo could launch Switch 2 between March 2024-November 2024. While it's unlikely, they could surprise us and launch it November 2023.