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Kakadu18 said:

The Wii drop is considered harsh because of it's early peak. It started dropping already early into it's life. Actually these kinds of drops are exactly what I expect for the Switch in the next few years.
Roughly 21mil in 2022, 15-17mil in 2023 and 10-12mil in 2024.

21 million for this year would be a great hold and would mean Switch would be only the second console ever to achieve 20 million for four individual years (Shipments not vgchartz sell through).