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8M-10M.

Relatively strong launch, for good enough reasons, but I'm guessing sales decline slightly in year 2. I'm thinking the hardcore XB fans already got one.
For the semi hardcore XBSX hunters who didn't, they'll get theirs next year, but I'm guessing that by the holidays, the XBSX won't be sold out anymore.
I'm also gambling that shortages will be relieved enough by holidays next year, that relatively more available PS5's will lead to a slight XBSS decline.
I'm thinking best case scenario next year is the same sales as this year.



PS1   - ! - We must build a console that can alert our enemies.

PS2  - @- We must build a console that offers online living room gaming.

PS3   - #- We must build a console that’s powerful, social, costs and does everything.

PS4   - $- We must build a console that’s affordable, charges for services, and pumps out exclusives.

PRO  -%-We must build a console that's VR ready, checkerboard upscales, and sells but a fraction of the money printer.

PS5   - ^ -We must build a console that’s a generational cross product, with RT lighting, and price hiking.

PRO  -&- We must build a console that Super Res upscales and continues the cost increases.