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RolStoppable said:
curl-6 said:

Yeah I agree, I feel like the only cause of disappointment with Switch sales is people having unrealistically high expectations.

For a system in its 5th year, in a global chip shortage no less, the Switch is on fire.

Results from the poll that ran from January 4th through January 11th:

 

Sell-through expectations for Switch in 2021?

Less than 15 million525.37%
 
15.0 - 17.4 million565.79%
 
17.5 - 19.9 million9710.02%
 
20.0 - 22.4 million21622.31%
 
22.5 - 24.9 million17618.18%
 
25.0 - 27.4 million16517.05%
 
27.5 - 29.9 million707.23%
 
30.0 - 32.4 million616.30%
 
32.5 - 35.0 million111.14%
 
More than 35 million646.61%
 
Total:968

The two options covering 22.5 to 27.4m will be closest to the actual result and they were the second and third most popular options. The biggest share went to an option that will below the actual performance of Switch in 2021. I suppose a lot of people really believed that corona was the biggest sales driver for Switch in 2020, so they expected a significant drop.

Outside of these three options in the middle and the lowest and highest option (which I typically ignore due to trolls making up a majority of these votes), there were actually slightly more people who prediced sales below 20m than there were people who expected Switch to be flat or higher than in 2020.

In any case, Switch sales in 2021 won't finish below the general consensus of early 2021, so the system lived up to expectations.

Good catch; eek at the 4th highest option being "17.5-19.9m", when it was coming off a 28 million year.

It's going to finish higher than over 60% of voters predicted.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.