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shikamaru317 said:
Alex_The_Hedgehog said:

Xbox One LT - ~115k
Xbox Series - 67.7k

Xbox Series X/S needs around 47.3k to outsell Xbox One in Japan.

Honestly, there is a very real possibility that Xbox Series beats Xbox One lifetime in Japan by the end of 2021. 22 weeks left in the year to sell 47.3k consoles averages out to 2,150 per week needed by Xbox Series. Xbox Series has sold anywhere from 1k to 4.6k over the course of the last 6 weeks. If MS can keep up these larger shipments, and if demand holds, Xbox Series might just do it. Afterall, there is still the Holiday effect and the releases of Forza Horizon 5 and Halo Infinite to take into account, plus some big 3rd party games coming over the next several months, both western franchises that are fairly popular in Japan and JP games. 

I think Xbox Series can do it. 2,150 per week seems doable.

Of course, as long as Microsoft doesn't screw it up and keeps the supply coming. Who knows, maybe we are still going to see a 5k+ week for Xbox Series in Japan.