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yo33331 said:
curl-6 said:

That would be fine for a drop to, say, 18 or 20 million, but when it's on tracking similarly to last year's 28 million this year, 15 million the following year is simply unrealistically low when its appeal is broader than dedicated consoles due to its hybrid nature, it's already tracking well ahead of PS4 and Wii, and it likely won't have the premature replacement that was the only reason DS dropped off so fast.

Basically, none of the reasons that caused other systems to stall passed 100 million apply to Switch.

Rather than a cliff, it will more likely taper off more gradually.

I added some lines in my previous post, put them here as well. - Also as I already said, the fruits of it's downfall have already started. It's second quarter is down with full million from it's first one, and it's the weakest one since quarter 3 of 2019. I expect Switch to hit 300K weekly by end of august. Starting January I expect numbers not higher than 300k weekly that can possibly reach the range of 200-250K weekly further in the year (without holiday season).

This year switch is making no more than 25. And okay, 18M is not out of the question, although a little optimistic for my expectations but still possible.

I said around 15M so where is the 16M standing it's not very from 18M right? but this is the best performance it can do if Nintendo don't do some surprise 100$ price cut. Then I agree it can even reach 25M for next year as well. However I am doubting it very much they would do so big of a price cut.

Also PS4 was ahead of PS2 sales too in 2019 .. but look what happened.

Wii have been ahead at one point from many systems, DS, even 3DS may have been ahead of PSP, PS3, 360, at one point but look at where it ended ..

PS4 and Wii are not good points of comparison for the Switch as they are totally different platforms. The Switch has wider reach than both and is not limited by their patterns.

No offense, but this whole thing just comes off as you desperately wishing for the Switch to fall off a cliff because the PS4 didn't live up to your expectations.