| noshten said: There is not a single game announced this year that would even approach 500K on the PS4/PS5 coupled with the Switch potentially moving over 10 million third party software in Japan and the message to third parties is pretty clear, especially while they have the real life example of a high big caliber game like Resident Evil: Village failing to surpass 100K on the PS5. Essentially the PS5 is dead in the water without some huge announcements to turn the tides in Japan. |
It seems to me not so dissimilar from the PS4s situation. PS4s biggest selling game in 2014 shifted only 144k physical copies (obviously excluding Knack which was bundled) which is certainly not impressive. PS5 is in a worser boat but the same forces are at play. Essentially support for AAA Japanese games will prevent it from being dead in the water, these games are shown to be more dependant on global audiences and some shrinking of the japanese audience doesn't stop them from reaching new overall sales heights.
RE8 is looking to be the first RE to eventually shift 10m and Monster Hunter World sold 3x more than any previous entry did. Final Fantasy XV being the 3rd best selling despite the luke warm reception. Such huge success should mean PS5 goes on to receive many more flagship Japanese exclusives in Japan. News of DQXII being developed with UE5 and being more adult makes me think its likely to be heading for PS5 with a desire to reach new sales heights through appealing to westerners. Thats an assumption on my side but the point is PS5's software support for big titles is not looking to weaken anytime soon.
Beyond this we also have to make sense of all of the data thats in front of us.
1. PS5 hardware is comfortably outselling PS4 in Japan
2. PS5 software is performing awefully in Japn
Either.
1. For some magic reason PS5 demand is not driven by software, in which case it will only continue to have greater success than PS4 in terms of hardware until we get evidence of the contrary
2. Weekly hardware numbers are not a true representation of the market for whatever reason (i.e consoles being resold elsewhere),in which case we have to wait for the smoke to clear (supply equalising demand) to make sense of the future of the system,whilst already knowing it has an exclusive lineup stronger than what the PS4 had in the same period
Of these two the later seems the most likely.
Last edited by Otter - on 30 May 2021
