| noshten said: Folks, Rise won't just do better than World in Japan.. it will outsell World by end of April/early May. World had a very quick drop and disappeared from the Top 30 by the summer time in Japan. This has to do with the PS4 already being in decline in terms of hardware and not really allowing the game to reach it's real potential. World launch - 2 million in Japan World legs - 1.1 million in Japan Monster Hunter World Legs: Famitsu Sales: Week 5, 2018 (Jan 29 - Feb 04) - 223.274 (-83%) Famitsu Sales: Week 6, 2018 (Feb 05 - Feb 11) - 114.740 (-49%) Famitsu Sales: Week 7, 2018 (Feb 12 - Feb 18) - 85.762 (-25%) Famitsu Sales: Week 8, 2018 (Feb 19 - Feb 25) - 54.915 (-36%) Famitsu Sales: Week 9, 2018 (Feb 26 - Mar 04) - 38.504 (-30%) Famitsu Sales: Week 10, 2018 (Mar 05 - Mar 11) - 24.351 (-37%) Famitsu Sales: Week 11, 2018 (Mar 12 - Mar 18) - 14.610 (-40%) Famitsu Sales: Week 12, 2018 (Mar 19 - Mar 25) - 10.924 (-25%) Famitsu Sales: Week 13, 2018 (Mar 26 - Apr 01) - 7.480 (-32%) Famitsu Sales: Week 14, 2018 (Apr 02 - Apr 08) - 4.359 (-42%) TOTAL: 578.919 World had a very strong launch on the PS4, but the legs were not good compared to previous Monster Hunter games in Japan. There is enough signs that Rise will outsell the best selling 3DS Monster Hunter game - Monster Hunter 3 Monster Hunter 3 Legs: Media Create Sales: Week 38, 2013 (Sep 16 - Sep 22) - 473.739 (-72%) Media Create Sales: Week 39, 2013 (Sep 23 - Sep 29) - 213.278 (-55%) Media Create Sales: Week 40, 2013 (Sep 30 - Oct 06) - 140.538 (-34%) Media Create Sales: Week 41, 2013 (Oct 07 - Oct 13) - 110.208 (-22%) Media Create Sales: Week 42, 2013 (Oct 14 - Oct 20) - 104.394 (-5%) Media Create Sales: Week 43, 2013 (Oct 21 - Oct 27) - 68.160 (-35%) Media Create Sales: Week 44, 2013 (Oct 28 - Nov 03) - 46.729 (-31%) Media Create Sales: Week 45, 2013 (Nov 04 - Nov 10) - 40.205 (-14%) Media Create Sales: Week 46, 2013 (Nov 11 - Nov 17) - 26.358 (-34%) Media Create Sales: Week 47, 2013 (Nov 18 - Nov 24) - 21.120 (-20%) TOTAL: 1.244.729 As we can see MH3 managed to sell more in the 10 weeks after launch than World sold lifetime legs Switch is currently in it's peak year in terms of hardware and software, so by the 10th Week Rise is on the market I anticipate it will be still in the 30K range, as previous 3DS entries didn't really get additional content to push the game's legs. It will be a game that will get a boost at Obon and later Christmas, so it could very easily be over 4 million shipped + digital by the end of the year in Japan alone. This will be inline with the performance of other Switch evergreens in terms of shipped + digital numbers. |
I think everyone is expecting Rise to outsell World in Japan. The Ssitch uservase is 2x the PS4's and its portable, where MH excelled in the past (in Japan).
