Imma say the Switch will ship around 23 Million consoles in 2021, not as much as last year since the AC craze has slowed down and I believe after peaking last year its hard to repeat and maintain that momentum of 28M sold in a year without beginning to approach saturation. However, 23 Million in a year is still amazing. So I would put the Switch by the end of 2021 right around 103 Million. I expect 17 Million sold in 2022 which would put the Switch around 120M by the end of 2022. Based off the current rate the PS4 is going, it's looking like the PS4 will fall just short of 120M since Sony isn't at all prioritizing selling the PS4 anymore and putting it in stock. So I think the end of 2022 seems the most likely timeframe of when the Switch will outsell the PS4.
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