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Sony might be able to afford this, but pricing of the competition and the current strong position in the market allow Sony to go higher, and I think they will try tto not lose too much money. I imagine Sony is confident enough to match XSX at 499 and lose more money on the discless model at 399 because there's more profits to be had there from games. I do think 449 for the disc model sounds like a pretty sweet spot otherwise, but it's only 50 less than 499 (so possibly not much advantage against XSX) and it looks way worse than 399. I think it's either 499 or 399, and I'm leaning towards 499.

That said, by now Sony is probably very well aware of the importance of price, and a price of 399 could win some marketshare. I think all things considered, Sony will still choose short-term profits, but I wouldn't be too surprised at 399 either considering XSX isn't higher than 499.

As for the discless model, it's probably either 349 or 399 depending on the price of the disc model. 299 is out of the question because all the discless model lacks is a disc drive so no cutting other costs there, and 449 in case of 499 for the disc model is way too close to the disc model and way too high compared to XSS at 299. If the discless model is 349, I imagine Sony would prefer to price the disc model at 449 instead but like I said, due to competition I imagine Sony won't do that.