Switch: a multi-wave console lifecycle (prediction)

[Otter]

Louie said:

Otter said:

If Ninetndo's expectation is that a systems lifespan ends at the release of a new console, then its looking like a Switch 2 in late 2023 is the earliest they'll do but that doesn't have to be the case at all. (and Nintendo have always combined genius with being quite slow) 

Same I said to Soundwave: Nintendo themselves say they expect the Switch to have a longer lifecycle than previous consoles. It's hard to argue against that. Of course, there are always opportunities, as you correctly said. However, a new console is always a big risk. The launch of new hardware can make or break companies in this business. So there are not just opportunities but also lots of pitfalls. So, the question Curl asked remains: Why release a new console when the last one is still at the height of its success? 

This question was answered in detail. I also literally listed systems which had a successor release the the year after their peak and seen major success

Businesses have different personalities, some rest on laurels and are too safe, others are too reckless. And theres' tons of grey inbetween.

I've ejoyed expressing my thoughts on the topic, there's nothing more to share.

Edit: just a reminder that every member of the big 3 have had made serious errors in judgenent in the last decade. What they intend to do =/= what they should do. I certainly wasn't debating what I think Nintendo will do.

Last edited by Otter - on 08 May 2020