Switch software is on fire. Switch hardware is on fire too. This is like NES and SNES days. Their core IP is what is selling like crazy. The Wii had to invent new games like Wii Sports and Wii Fit to sell big. The DS even had big new IP like Nintendogs and Brain Age. Sure Switch has new games like this too (1-2 Switch, etc...), but that isn't what is really selling. Just look at how many games they have that are already "best selling in the series":
Super Smash Bros Ultimate (18.84m)
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (17.41m)
Super Mario Odyssey (17.41m) - best 3D mario
Animal Crossing: New Horizons (13.41m)
Splatoon 2 (10.31m)
Super Mario Party (10.1m)
Luigi's Mansion 3 (6.33m)
Super Mario Maker 2 (5.48m)
That is already 8 games which are the best selling in their series, and on top of that Mario Kart 8 D and Fire Emblem 3 Houses both stand a decent chance to claim that title too. Switch software is really firing on all cylinders. These aren't 1-system wonders like Brain Age created to sell to a brand new audience. This is all established Nintendo IP. Nintendo is making their core games to become top sellers: Zelda, Mario, Animal Crossing, Smash Bros, etc....
And here is the thing. Software sells hardware. It is baffling to me how some people can be so bearish on Switch hardware sales. It is the software that is selling at amazing levels. If so many titles are selling at unprecedented numbers, then what does that say about hardware? Unprecedented software sales logically lead to unprecedented hardware sales. It's pretty simple really.
Yep, with that catalog of software already available in a short period of time the hardware will maintain strong sales for the next 3+ years. Add in that less and less people seem to be impressed by Sony and Microsoft right now and I could really see the Switch having 3 years in a row of 20+ million hardware unit sales, possibly 4!
Playstation 4 just had a week over 300k and will have more in the coming months with several massive titles planned.
There are too many games you can't play on the Switch for a poor PS5/Series X showing to translate into Switch sales imo.
Nintendo would have to work some serious software magic (or hardware magic) to sustain 20m+ beyond this FY. Titles like Mario Kart, new pokemon generation and Animal Crossing are once in a generation impacts.
Last edited by Otter - on 08 May 2020