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Seeing the list and looking at New Leaf at 5.8 million and Smash Ultimate and Sword/Shield both over 4.2 million, I'm assuming that those include digital figures that Nintendo includes in their financial reports?

They always report shipped + digital and considering that their next report will only be their latest figures as of March 31st, it may or may not already crack 4 million with just 11 days on the market.
It's probably already passed 5 million by this point depending on how much they've already shipped and how high its digital rate is. In fact, I would even bet money on it.