Switch now at half of PS4 lifetime sales

[Bofferbrauer2]

src said:
No chance.

PS4 will cap at 120-130 million

Its still up in the air if SW will hit 100 million.

Switch not hitting 100M is at this point just as probable as the PS4 staying below 110M

src said:

Slownenberg said:

But if we're being realistic....thats a bit silly.

Switch should still have pretty healthy sales by the time it passes 100 million. It'll probably pass 100 million holidays 2022, so even if Switch 2 launches in 2023 there's no way Switch ain't hitting 100 million. If Switch 2 launches 2024 then a realistic target is 115+ million.

SW is at 54 million now iirc. It would need to sell 46 million in two years, completely impossible for your prediction. Its still up in the air if this year will be the peak.

I think this is where your problem lies.

You expect Nintendo to replace the Switch within the next 2 years, so fall 2021 or March 2022. I can tell you right now that this won't happen. There's simply no reason for it to happen. More realistic is a fall 2023 launch of it's successor, and with a Switch+/pro/whatever you want to call it in 2021 or 2022, Nintendo could extend it's life even a bit longer than this.

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 21 April 2020