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buldling everything on ONE kart would seem cheap by nintendo standerds, although they HAVE done this once before with all stars+world on the SNES, but then again that was on the SNES, where they were competing with another company doing almost the same strategy as them(lots of qualityfirst party IPs) so they went full steam.
realistically(and also because an HD remake would take up a LOT of space so saving money on that front) this is what I expect:
a new mario game for the switch.
SM64(DS) definitive + sunshine
SM galaxy ultimate, perhaps merging the story and levels into one cohesive game in this case.
3D land+world
all realeses scatterd across the latter half of the year. sunshine/64 dropping in july, galaxy dropping in spetember, the new game droping in november, and 3d land/world dropping in january.