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I don´t understand why people are talking about Metal Gear Solid here - the game sold 1.4 million during the first week but Japan saw a huge decline in sales this week. (bigger than any game of the series, remember!)

The problem with PS3 games is legs. This is why you can point out first week sales as often as you want, we need the first month of sales to be able to accurately compare the game to previous games of the series. The same goes for Final Fantasy: The legs will determine wheter it is a success or not.

So why not wait for next weeks data before we use its sales numbers to prove anything?

On topic: I´d say the game will sell somewhere between 5 and 7.5 million units. It´s a new generation so you never know. Maybe people are tired of the Final Fantasy series now (usually, you should expect the game to sell less than Final Fantasy X, though: Final Fantasy VII sold more than Final Fantasy X and given the PS3´s smaller userbase it is highly likely that the game will sell less than X. Look at Mario Party sales for comparism: The first game on each console always sold the most and Mario Party 1 sold more than 4. Mario Party 8, on the other hand, sells great now because of the bigger userbase.), maybe people are just waiting for a game like Final Fantasy XIII to "blow them away". (look at "The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time" for comparism - smaller userbase but higher sales)

We can only tell what is more likely. Currently I´d say the game will sell between 5 and 7.5 million units.