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Soundwave on 16 May 2018
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TheMisterManGuy said:
Soundwave said:

If we're going to be honest, most people have never heard of Labo or care about it if they have. If you want to be honest. 

And right on cue, this week shows Labo Variety Pack dropping to sub-10k sales on Media Create Japan. A large 70% drop from last week. 

Brain Training didn't drop under 10k for like a year and a half+. I don't think Labo after 4 weeks including Golden Week has even sold through its initial shipment in Japan which is probably even more damning. 

This is no Brain Training, it won't even do 10% of the business in Japan there and probably less worldwide. And there's little to no hardware boost for Switch.

Kirby is going to easily outsell Labo in Japan and Kirby is pretty firmly a B-tier Nintendo property. Nintendo might be in denial about it but Switch is going to have to be driven by more traditional gaming experiences, things like 1,2 Switch and Labo are not really taking off anywhere close to what the DS/Wii-era hits did and that's just the facts. 

Everything had a massive drop this week, even Kirby which like the variety kit, sold under 10k, I mean it's post Golden Week. Even then, the Variety kit is still in the top 5, so it's still hanging in there. Labo's kind of expensive, so expect to see modest sales for the most part until the holidays, which is when Toys like this usually make the bulk of their sales. 

More like expect it to fall off the face of the planet in the next few weeks and go sub-5k and then pop back up for a very modest boost around the holidays (ala 1,2 Switch) and fizzle out with sales well below Kirby in Japan. 

Nintendo is going to have huge problems selling its initial shipment in Japan because I think the next several weeks are gonna be quite ugly for it and retailers are likely going to have to discount it and put it in the clearance/bargain bin to get it off their hands (can't have product taking up that much space on your retail floor that's just collecting dust). 

And virtually no hardware sales boost during the 4 weeks that Labo has been out either. Brain Training or Nintendogs it ain't, hell I don't think it will match Nintendo Land's sales (which wasn't bundled) in Japan on Wii U.