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"3ds games were irrelevent for MHW's sucess"
Excuse me? Whike it maintained its sales in japan, MH4 is the one that first broke 1 mil in the west.

Aanyway I'm guessing thier western focus paid off a lot.

As of japan... COMEG numbers show that its going to do worse that portable 3rd/4/4G/cross, but by how much we have no idea.
Considering the main cultrual thing of MH being played with local multiplayer... I'd still say 2 mil in japan LTD. Which still is freaking impressive only lagging behind DQ and splatoon, japan's biggest games at the moment