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The XB1 install base is much smaller than the 360's was at the time those "peak" Forza Motorsport games released. Also, Forza Horizon is probably stealing a bit of the sales, and the two year upgrade cycle is limiting anyone's ability to get excited about the new games. So, none of this surprises me.

I'd like them, at least for the next cycle, to go three years between launches of both FM and FH. They could do some kind of 1-off motorcycle racer, or maybe some kind of future racer to fill in the dead year.