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I don't understand why people are thinking that XB1 won't reach 1.5mm. It is at 1mm now, and probably about half way through its lifecycle. Certainly, sales slow as the generation wanes. But, that waning has not started. They're just about to release a major update to the line. I'd be shocked if they don't reach 1.5mm, assuming the next console generation is 3 or more years away (which seems near certain).