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the one key difference between the wii u and the switch is that its a portable. especially when sony gave up on the vita, when most of the minor third parties of japan heavily prefered the vita and NOT the ps4 cause its a home console.
and remember, the switch's strategy is more like 3DS's strategy rather than the wii Us. with the wii U ninty took their sweet ass time to get used to HD when others have been doing so for almost a decade, creating a massive lull for the first 2 years. and if you don't get a system seller for 2 whole years.... yeah.
the switch's bound to absorb most of the vita/3ds/wiiU market, and that is the MAJORITY of japan's console market at 7/22/3 milion vs the ps4's 4 milion respectivly. the ps4 only occupies a miniscule amount of around 10% there.
which means that japanese third party kinda have to jump to the switch within 2 years.