I don't like lottery very much, so I don't think it's possible to give very accurate predictions just yet. Switch's success greatly depends on how some things unfold, and I could see them going either way. I think seeing what's really going to happen while considering all the things would require a tremendous amount of insight, which I think almost no one has.
Anyway, considering how the big audience doesn't seem to have found Switch at least yet, I'd say the numbers are going to be 20-80 million, depending mainly on how well the big masses find Switch and how good support it receives in the form of games. Could be even more if the masses find it, but I even if they find it, I think it's not going to be as big as Wii. That's because the market has radically changed because of mobile, and because the masses didn't seem to find Switch at launch in the same way they found Wii, which doesn't bode too well. On the other hand, I don't see Switch doing as poorly as Wii U, because it's a much better product that probably has quite a bit of room for price cuts as well.
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