I don't agree that it's DOA in the West, not with Zelda and not with the amount of massive Nintendo fans that will buy the console regardless. There is probably still a million people who would buy Switch if all it came with was Superman 64 HD.
A good launch lineup is not particularly important for sales because of this. More important is what comes after. MK8 Deluxe may help shift a few units. Splatoon 2 will be a system seller in Japan and will help push *some* sales in EU and US. I see it doing ok up until September or so. The holiday season is the problem.
MS will have Scorpio. Sony will slash Pro price, and will have Desitny 2, RDR2, Cod and Battlefront 2. Mario is not enough. It will help sell systems for sure, but can't do much alone. It all comes down to Pokemon for me. I can buy into Nintendo not wanting to say anything about it yet due to Sun & Moon releasing just two months ago. If Pokemon Stars is ready for the holiday season, then I think the Switch can have a decent year. If they can have a Switch Pokemon bundle for $299 in November and December, then I think that, although it will still come third behind PS4 and X1, it can hold it's own to a reasonable extent. Maybe end the year with 6m sales or so. Without Pokemon, then it really will be a struggle with that price point.
2018 onward I have no idea. I can't believe how little software there is with firm release dates given the lack of Wii U and 3DS support in the last 18 months. Where the hell is Pikmin 4 for instance?
I still see it selling more than Wii U to a reasonable extent, but it seems like they have messed up a bit so far.
Existing User Log In
New User Registration
Register for a free account to gain full access to the VGChartz Network and join our thriving community.
