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binary solo said:

I think most people expected Until Dawn to sell poorly, until it didn't. Same with Shadow of Mordor. Despite critics apparently not mattering according to some people, if a game like this or Until Dawn gets a media/critic reaction of "Hey, this game is much better than I thought it would be - 7.8" then that sort of buzz will drive sales. Conversely if a game gets "meh, this game is OK but not as good as I hoped - 7.5" then this will depress sales. Even though the actual critic scores for such games might be very similar.

Problem is, although you're right that both of those games were helped by surprisingly good reviews, they are also far easier sells. SoM is a game in the LOTR universe, Until Dawn is a horror game.

Even if it reviews better than expected, Last Guardian is a puzzle-platformer with a weird animal thing.