LadyJasmine said:
Do note he said Trump had a zero percent change of being the GOP candidate in the start.
I think Nate is usually right but this is an atypical election so I think the typical Models are off. |
He made this initial statements with his guts without a model, and he regrets it:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/
As soon as he analyzed it with a model, he was more accurate.







