| Jumpin said: Nintendo went from 20 to 100 million between GameCube and Wii, so it is possible to see jumps that high, possibly higher. A 5X jump to NX would mean about 70 million. It'll be interesting if NX can beat the Cube to Wii improvement. Strong software is key. Wii had: Zelda, Wii Sports, Super Mario Galaxy, and Metroid Prime 3 in its year 1, and that was alongside a bunch of other games. Immediately Wii's year 1 was Nintendo's strongest year of releases ever. Nintendo needs a repeat of Wii year 1 for NX. |
That isn't really what drove Wii sales though.
GameCube arguably had an equal/better 1st year of Nintendo franchise software vs. the Wii (not counting the Wii casual fare):
Super Smash Bros. Melee, Super Mario Sunshine, Metroid Prime, Luigi's Mansion, Pikmin, Animal Crossing, Star Fox Adventures, Eternal Darkness, Wave Race: Blue Storm, NBA Courtside 2002
vs.
Super Mario Galaxy, Metroid Prime 3, Zelda: TP (GCN port), Super Paper Mario, Wario Ware: Smooth Moves, Fire Emblem, Excite Truck, Mario Party, Mario Strikers, Battallion Wars Wii
It's a wash at best, yet Wii had much higher sales.
I think NX must have some really appreciable new element about it. It doesn't have to be some casual chasing gimmick but it needs to be something that clearly differeniates it next to a PS4/XB1/Wii U. But unlike the Wii, they can't gimp the chipset, it needs to be powerful otherwise developers will not support it, it should be at minimum equal to the PS4 and upgradable perhaps to PS4.5 levels.
