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Nintendo has been on the decline since it entered the home console market. SNES sold much less then NES. N64 sold much less than SNES. GCN sold much less than N64. Wii was a fluke/outlier, whether you choose to accept it or not, due to the fad of motion controls (I've said this time and time again: does anyone really think the Wii, with its library looking awful similar to prior gens, would have sold so much without waggle? They still had your Mario, Zelda, MK, Metroid, etc. The only variable was waggle). Now that the fad of motion controls are over, Nintendo has to once again rely solely on its library, and as you can see, the trend they were following before began to resume with the WiiU. I theorize that the WiiU's sales aren't even so riduclously bad, either, in terms of historical reference to Nintendo. Had the Wii fell in line with Nintendo's trend, it would have sold much less than GCN, and then WiiU's numbers now would, as a result, not look so surprising. Wii's success paints WiiU in a bad light, but in reality, based on Nintendo's overall trend, WiiU sales are right where they should be. 

Unless Nintendo finds a new "fad" to catch consumers by surprise, NX will sell even less than WiiU.