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As other people say, +50% marketshare is already happen.
For the 25,000,000, well, that is my prediction.

Apr: 600,000
May: 500,000
Jun: 1,200,000

So, i think that PS4 will be between 23,500,000 and 24,000,000 by E3...
25,000,000 will happen in September imo.