VGChartz predicts Halo: MCC will sell 500k-800k in the USA in week 1. Thoughts?

[Teeqoz]

Seece said:

kowenicki said:

chocoloco said:

I think the obvious huge expectations of the big Halo fans has caused Halo expectations to be too high. I used my prediction in Kowen's prediction thread to purposely cause a higher anchor and adjustment in his thread. Look up anchor and adjustment hueristic.

How very Machiavellion of you.  I bet nobody ever thought of that before....(only happens in every single prediction thread we ever have here. lol)

Well in this case, it didnt work.  The vast majority thought it would sell less than your 1.6m prediciton (global).

It will do 1m in the US 1st week.  VGC may not show that... but NPD will.

Funny tho, if/when it does 1m+ in US, that = about 1.6m WW given userbase ratios.

You can't use userbase ratios. You'll also have to account for different regions preffering different genres/franchises etc.