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JWeinCom said:

Remember that Europe is much larger than Japan. France, UK, and Germany together would be significantly larger in terms of population than Japan, so even if Mario is less popular, it should sell about as much or more.


Edit:  Mario Kart EU has outsold JP since 64 http://www.vgchartz.com/gamedb/?name=mario+kart

except for the fact that the Japanese WiiU userbase is 38% bigger right now.

If it's going to keep the same attach ratio in Europe as in Japan it's going to do 240k FW.