| sidmeiernintifan said: The japanese will need a machine to play Final Fantasy, PS4 will surely sell at least as much as PS3 in Japan. |
The first part is true. The second... why?
Final Fantasy 13 was a big hit in Japan, with nearly 2 million sales, but it's been declining. outsold 13 by over 0.4 million, 10 outsold 12 by a similar margin, and all three PSone Final Fantasy games outsold X. Including FF9, which was outsold 2:1 in the West by X. The series has obviously been declining, ESPECIALLY since the PS2 was such a hit in Japan that the relative dcline was even bigger.
I wouldn't be surprised if Final Fantasy 15 continued the downward trend. Is it really that radical a prediction to guess that it'll sell less than 1.5 million on the PS4, for example? Bear in mind that recent spinoffs have done even worse these past couple of years. 13-2 is well below a million and Lightning Returns may never reach half a million in Japan, compared to X-2's 2.11 million. Dissidia 2 only sold half of the original, X HD is hovering around a quarter million, Theatrhythm was a bigger hit in America, wtc.
As for the PS4 selloing at least 10 or 11 million consoles in Japan, I have to ask why. Final Fantasy is declining, Resident Evil declined drastically from 5 to 6, the Warriors games seem to be losing steam at the moment, Metal Gear Solid did better on the PSP than the PS3, meaning the fandom is more likely to be Vita owners, Gran Turismo 7 is years away... what are the big games going to be that make lots of people buy PS4's? I'm thinking Warriors-type games and Yakuza alone can make the PS4 a hit, but Western games are still not big enough in Japan to justify a system's existence.
If Japan bought less than 12 million consoles Gen 8, I wouldn't be surprised.
