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kowenicki said:
I think we can take the massive fall of the vita as read, gen over gen versus psp, cant we?

the 3ds performance is an illusion of good early adoption

the ds had a run of sales where it saw  approx 10m, 20m, 30m, 30m, 27m, 20m over a 6 year period.

3ds is nowhere near it and never will be.

The gen will end with a circa 50% drop in handheld sales.  Thats not just down to bad marketing or the wrong games... its a dramatic change in habits brought on by other devices. i.e tablets and phones.

Its just too obvious.

I think I agree with you here. It is even more sad, that 3DS doesn't really manages to reach DS-numbers, although it not only goes after two of the DS key-markets: casual gaming experience (Nintendogs, Brain Training, Freakyforms) and Nintendo quality gaming experience (NSMB2, Zelda, Pokemon). No, they also capture a big chunk of PSPs main market: exclusive mobile core gaming experience (Kid Icarus: Uprising, SIX! Atlus-RPGs already, Bravely Default, Fire Emblem: Awakening, Monster Hunter). Don't focus too much on Monster Hunter, all these games had from style their place at the PSP last gen, sure, PSP didn't have Kid Icarus and Fire Emblem franchises, but it had similar offerings. With these games NIntendo was going after the PSP-market. So Vita is left with the scraps - and a marketing-fantasy form Sony: the home console experience on the go. Surely, these strategy is successful, home console spinoffs are selling the best on Vita (Uncharted, COD, AC Liberation). But it seems that market is small. In part it is Sonys fault - they should have offered the games.

Anyways, even with getting after the markets of DS and PSP, the 3DS will not sell as much as the DS it seems. That shows a contraction of the market.



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