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justinian said:
At the very least it should double next year whatever it ends at this year. So taking 5.5m as the end of 2013 total I would guess 11m is the low mark.

I may revisit this thread after the January Nintendo Direct. If they announce some new and interesting stuff for later in the year that can change things.

You seem to be forgeting that the 5.5 million life to date includes two holiday seasons, & so far Nintendo has sold about (quick math in my head) 80-90% of it's Wii U's during the holiday seasons.  So if you are just doubling ltd numbers for a safe guess then that won't work because 2014 only has one Christmas.  However if you are expecting better sales throughout the year you may be correct, if not a bit optimistic with your number.