Superchunk's Guide to Nintendo's Plans - An I was right all along production.

[trestres]

Soundwave said:

 

I'm going to let you guys in on a little secret -- Nintendo KNOWS full well they're not hitting that forecast. They know they're not even coming close. They pulled that 9 mill number out of their butts a year ago just to placate shareholders. They've known for months that it ain't happening. They're not stupid. 

So why not fess up and revise the forecast downwards? 

Lets say you've accidentally misplaced your wife's favorite dress while moving things around. Ruh-roh, you're in trouble right? Now you can tell her immediately or you can wait a week and tell her after you've booked that vacation to go to Paris and Rome, which you know she's been asking you to take her for ages. 

Simply put, Nintendo knows they are going to take it on the chin with the Wii U forecast, but if they can make hay (specifically with the 3DS) this holiday and post some OK profits, then investors won't be as unhappy about the whole situation come next March. 

That's all that's going on. If they were to slash forecasts on Wii U in September on top of posting weak earnings, it looks even worse, if they announce bad Wii U sales next March, but the sales are starting to improve slightly (because they can't get any worse than the Jan-September period) and you have some nice profits to report from Pokemon X/Y and holiday 3DS/2DS sales .... well suddenly it's not such a bitter pill for investors to swallow. 

They can say goodbye to shareholders confidence after this years results and I expect a big sellout of shares right after it, and its possible there might be some trouble inside the meeting place, Iwata might be forced to take drastic decisions.

Nintendo cheap strategy was to release a half assed enhanced port of Wii Fit, another Wii Party U and a single mass appealing AAA value game (SM3DW) which is questionably a 3DS sequel grabbed to have something in their console, which fully evolved into a game of its own. They had to push back DKC because there will be nothing left for Q1 otherwise, but taking a look at the actual situation, if a new 3D Mario wasnt able to wake the interest, then nor will a DK game. 

Strategy was desperate and coming off a pedantic and proud stance. Its gone terribly wrong with nothing to be done and yet Reggie and Iwata make it seems its all going according to the master plan. Their moves failed, now they will end the year without retailers, customers, shareholders and publishers trust.

They just dont know what theyre doing anymore. And if the WiiU keeps on beeing a drilled bucket for their money, they will be forced to kill it or leave it as is, with the eventual games coming, but without any further advertising massive campaigns and just to avoid being SEGA'd