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Mid 09 for me
May I point out that the PS3 apparently completely failed last year, with about 8m consoles sold. It is already doubling its sales at this point in the year, so 11m is not unreasonable, although I think that it will be more like 12m, because last year the PS3 had no games, this year it has two and a half (GT 5p, GTA IV and MGS 4)