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Egann said:

Really? I would've said so long as it stays the cheapest system it'll do fine. Right now, it's one of three HD consoles, so it struggles against the PS3 and 360 as the HD system with the highest price and fewest titles.

That flips when the PS4 and XB1 come to market.

Really, the argument that convinced me that the Wii U will probably win this generation, shaky start notwithstanding, is that console generations are almost always won by the middle or lower power console. Happened with the Wii, PS2, PSOne (hard to believe the N64 was actually the power system of gen 5), and in the handheld space, this happened with the 3DS and the DS. And that's just as far back as I'm willing to look, because before this be pyramids.

The difference in power between the PS4 and XB1 is neglegible, as are their libraries. They should sell well, but for one of them to "win" Gen 8 would upset a major historical trend. 

The problem with that historical constant is that in two very important cases, the weakest system wasn't the cheapest (PSOne and PS2). Also, the PS2 demolished the Dreamcast, which violates the "weaker system sells" principle.

It seems that being the weakest system, even being the cheapest system is not what always makes you win (see the dreamcast). It's always a combination of games (sorry cube), price (sorry cube) and marketting (sorry dreamcast).

So if the U gets the 3DS type of games library and marketing, all it will need is the price that goes with the winning combination.

The PSOne and PS2 really were exceptional to sell at the prices they were sold at.