PS3 isn't selling 40m in two years. If you go by shipments Wii should be around 105m in two years (10m). I don't think Wii is going to be down by 1/2 like it has been recently in Q4 2012 vs. Q4 2011. It should still be the main platform for music games, and Epic Mickey 1 pushed a lot of HW back in 2010, so Epic Mickey 2 should be fairly big. Wii could also be selling for $100 officially, with Wii U at perhaps $250 or $300 (with a game), which squeezes Sony's PS3 pricing pretty good.
PS3 is going to be down for a while (it's 20% off it's 12 month US peak, and 33% off it's Japan peak, between in Europe) - the new model isn't coming at Leipzig, so it's likely to be introduced in October to prevent sales from diving off a cliff in Japan (where 3DS and Wii U will massacre everything in December), and the US (where X360 & Wii price cuts, and the new Wii U sould offset whatever Sony does).
Europe is also about to enter a depression because of the incompetent dipshit political class that insists on ruining everything it touches, how much penetration can PS3 really have in Europe with 25m systems sold by year end, but 25% unemployment in it's best markets (Italy, Spain), and the more faddish markets like the UK / France set to at least initially support the Wii U as the next big thing.
Sony is also somewhat hamstrung by it's ongoing massive losses, and the need to devote huge developmental resources to try to turn Vita around, as it's currently tracking for around 10m lifetime in each major market (the US and Japan and Europe) and maybe 35m - 40m lifetime globally.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
