Wii U Launch Line Up vs. Wii U Hardware...

[Acevil]

kitler53 said:

TheSource said:

I'm not entirely convinced Wii U will enhance gameplay and create new genres like Wii did, but it should enhance gameplay more than 3DS did...and possibly in similar ways to how DS did.

For the launch though, it occured to me that the line up is actually very strong in terms of active fanbases, genres, and diversity. Let's take a look -

Launch Window Headliners (Franchises with about 10m fans or more)

- Wii U Fit  (Wii Fit sold 23m, Wii Fit Plus 20m)

- New Super Mario Bros. Wii U (28m for New Super Mario Bros. DS, 25m for NSMB Wii)

- Just Dance 4 (Just Dance 3 is around 11m between Wii, Kinect and Move)

- Assassin's Creed 3  (Assassin's Creed 1-2 are around 9-10m each)

Nintendo Supplementary Hits (1-3m)

- Wii U Panorama

- Pikmin 3 (Pikmin 1-2 solid like 1-2m each)

Potential Breakout Hits (500k - 5m):

- Legoland

- Sing

- Project 100

- Nintendoland

- Tank Tank Tank

- Game & Wario

- Scribblenauts

- Rayman Legends

- Zombi U

- Your Shape

- Sports Connection (Ubisoft)

- Aliens

Major Ports / Minor Multiplats (200k - 1m)

- Mass Effect 3 (1m on PS3 / X360)

- Arkham City (6m on X360 / PS3)

- Darksiders II (Darksiders I did 1m on X360 / PS3)

- Skylanders

- Call of Duty?

- Dragon Quest X?

- Tekken

- Ninja Gaiden

 

In terms of announced software, assuming all the games exist, it's fairly likely the above games can sell 70-100m units of software lifetime and all seem to be real.

i (and the other ~120M households that already own a ps3 or 360) won't be enticed by any of those titles.  why the hell would i get new hardware to play the same game i already can buy for the hardware i own??  with dragon quest X already out of wii, i don't see that being an enticing title either.

of what's left a few (like sing) look terrible but in short what i see is only titles for the "casuals".  Wii Fit, NSMB, Just Dance, Nintendo Land.  Pikmin, zombieU, rayman will probably all be good games but i dout any of them are real big or system sellers. 

wii U won't be any where near the kind of flop the virtual boy was but i just can't see it doing anywhere near what the wii did either.  So what did the ps3 and 360 do in their first years?  I see the wiiU having a similar launch.

Actually I am getting Assassin Creed III on the Wii U, I do agree with you, but I know some people who will get ACIII on the Wii U including my set of friends...the other titles however are almost doomed.