I think the Wii U is going to steal a lot of the HD consoles thunder and they will both be down pretty signifcantly next year. Holidays will make up a greater chunk of the sales then ever. Considering the 360 will get black friday deals of under 150$ this year. Next year you can be sure to see at least one store selling the 4gig version for under 100$. The 360 could win next year if the wii U does make ps3/360 sales decline, but otherwise I think the lead the PS3 will build up by the time the holidays start will be too big for the 360 to make up with ridiculous deals during the holidays.