Think about it regionally -
Can PS3 sell 15m in Japan? Wii is trending for roughly that amount
Can PS3 sell 50m in the USA? Wii is still 18 months ahead of the PS2 pace in the USA, and PS2 hit 46m in the USA. PS2 certainly never topped 4m in a year once it was above 35m like Wii is in the USA.
Can PS3 sell 40m in Europe & Australia ? It looks like Wii will get there.
Sony definitely does have some advantages in developing markets, but lets not pretend its a white-washing here - Wii has sold well in Mexico, Brazil and South Korea, and decently in mainland South East Asia. From what I can tell the main difference between Nintendo and Sony is in Eastern Europe and the Middle East where Sony has a strong presence and Nintendo has virtually no presence.
PS3 will probably have some kind of weird lifetime split compared to Wii and PS2 -
US JP EU Global
PS2: 46 23 46 158m
Wii: 52 15 40 125m
PS3: 28 11 35 95m
It probably is conceivable that outside the USA market, PS3 will end up topping Wii figures lifetime, but even by that measure I'd expect to come ahead a little bit.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
