| Iveyboi said: Hello all, Given the sheer number of recent articles regarding the game it seems like Battlefield 3 is gearing up to be one of the largest releases of the year. EA has stated that they plan to invest signficiant resources promoting the game, and preorders are currently 700% higher than BC2 at the same point of time. BC2 went on to sell 7 million units. Although EA wants BF3 to outsell COD, I feel that with this entry they will not quite be able to achieve this goal (but it will be their best effort yet) Personally, I believe with a large marketing push, the casual market can be grabbed. This plus the loyal fan base could position Battlefield 3 to have long-term sales of 11-13 million, depending on the reviews and whether the game lives up to the hype (unlike Medal of Honour). This game will not sell solely on name, so initial reviews will be crucial to obtain large legs. Opening week I anticipate: Low: PC: 500,000 Xbox 360: 1,500,000 PS3: 900,000 TOTAL: 2,900,000 Medium: PC: 600,000 Xbox 360: 2,000,000 PS3: 1,200,000 TOTAL: 3,800,000 High: PC: 700,000 Xbox 360: 2,500,000 PS3: 1,500,000 TOTAL: 4,700,000 After this, legs will be dependent upon the reviews and user feedback of the game. If it turns out to be great, I expect this to have massive legs during the holiday season & stay strong through 2012. If not, afte rthe holidays I believe the legs will falter. What do you guys think? |
While it is possible that LTD it could reach very high numbers with good enough word of mouth, those first week estimates seem ridiculous to me.
At the very best I think battlefield's first week will be 1.7mil for 360, and 1.1mil for the ps3. Not going to bother estimating for the PC since vgchartz doesn't track digitial sales.
More likely though 360 should open around 1.3mil and the ps3 should open around 800k.
Then again maybe their advertising will pay off.
