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RolStoppable said:

I don't think I have posted in this thread before, but right now I think that the DS has the better chances to come out on top. I guess it's going to sell around 15m units this year which is by no means easy to top for any system in its first year on the market. It really depends on Nintendo's big holiday title for the 3DS which we should know about by E3's time.

The reasoning laid out in the original post is generally sound, except for one point: The E3 curse. That one is just not true. In 2006 the Wii got the buzz and you know how that turned out. In 2008 and 2009 the Wii certainly didn't have any buzz anymore. At least you got 2010 right, but that still doesn't change the fact that there is no visible E3 curse pattern.

The E3 curse only affects post 2007 E3 announcements.



Above: still the best game of the year.