So how is the Wii tracking compared to the PS2 within the same timeframe?

[trestres]

TheSource said:

I recently ran figures comparing Wii, PS3, X360 to PS2 with the following caveats:

- PS2 "year one" counts as March 2000 in Japan not March 2000 - Dec 2000 to make comparing to Wii / PS3 / X360 more even.

- I only looked at the USA, Japan, and Western Europe

- Data is for Launch Windown to 5th Christmas (4th Christmas for PS3 in Europe)

Wii is almost two years ahead of PS2 in the USA, less than a year ahead in Western Europe (and it may fall behind the PS2 pace in Europe this year), and way behind in Japan.

X360 is closing in on the PS2 pace in the USA, way off the PS2 in Europe and a joke compared to PS2 in Japan.

PS3 is way off the PS2 pace in the USA and Japan but fairly close to PS2 in Western Europe.

 

W. Europe
Wii	0	0.68	4.97	8.55	6.87	5.86
PS2	0	0.68	5.05	6.41	7.00	6.10	8.19
PS3	0	3.29	3.86	4.41	5.24
X360	0	0.41	1.77	1.97	3.85	3.35	4.13
	Prelaunch	Year 1	Year 2	Year 3	Year 4	Year 5	Year 6

Western Europe:

                  Year 1-4        Year 1-5

Wii               21.07m          26.93m

PS3*            16.80m         (year five is 2011)

PS2               19.15m          25.24m

X360            8.00                 11.35m

* Year one for PS3 is March 25 to Dec 2007, Year One for PS2 / Wii / X360 is one to three months. PS3 is thus at 70% of the PS2 pace in years one to four on a weekly or monthly basis.

 

JP Normalized PS2	Yr 1	Yr 2	Yr 3	Yr 4	Yr 5	Yr 1-5
PS2	1.16	2.99	4.28	3.77	3.21	15.40
Wii	0.96	3.68	3.02	2.02	1.66	11.34
PS3	0.47	1.22	1.07	1.83	1.55	6.14

Year one is adjusted to be one month for all three systems.

USA Years 1-5:

 

	Year 1	Year 2	Year 3	Year 4	Year 5
Wii	1.08	6.29	10.16	9.59	7.07
PS2	1.10	6.17	8.39	6.31	4.68
X360	0.61	3.91	4.62	4.74	4.77
PS3	0.69	2.56	3.54	4.32	4.33

Wii USA = 34.18m

PS2 USA = 26.65m (32.16m in 2000-2005)

X360 USA = 18.65m (25.41m in 2005-2010)

PS3 USA = 15.44m

Wii is 20 months ahead of the PS2 pace in the USA, about six months ahead of PS2 in Europe, and 3m / 1-2 years behind in Japan. X360 is 10% of the PS2 pace in Japan in years 1-5, less than half in Western Europe, and 75-80% of the PS2 in the USA. PS3 is 40% of the PS2 pace in Japan, 58% of the PS2 pace in the USA, and 70% of the PS2 pace in Europe.

Your numbers show 4.06 million difference between PS2 figures and Wii figures in Japan, that's probably more like 2-3 years behind.