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Immortal said:

You do realize that 21.8m would put it at like 106.5m, :P?

Your prediction could be easily blown, though, :P - Nintendo may do even less for software than this year, Vitality Sensor may be 2012 and Wii may not cut price, :P.

If all three of your conditions do take place (which I doubt, xD), then I'd say you're lowballing it.

I count this week(ending January 1st) as 2011 sales.

With 21.8 Million added to 84.0 Million it would be at 105.8 Million end of 2011.