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jarrod said:

I think next year is pretty much going to end up like this year, both in weeks (PS3 beating Wii) and sales (Wii beating PS3).  I think PS3 will actually take more weeks than it did in 2010, but I also expect it to have higher YOY declines than Wii (which should get a nice buff out of DQX).

In those 3rd party lists though you have quite a few 2012 (or later) games listed (MGS Rising, FFVersusXIII, Tekken Vs SF, Devil's Third, etc) and games that haven't been announced at all yet for Japan (Power Pro, Winning Eleven, Dreamcast Collection, Tomb Raider/Collection, Hitman 5, The Conduit 2, Dungeon Siege III, etc).  For 2011 it'd probably be best to compare likely 2011 releases, and only titles actually announced (and not assumed) for Japan.  Also, it's Tekken Tag Tournament 2, not Tekken 7.

I'd take Ashura's Rage and Troy Musou off the 100k plus lists too.  Musou outside Hokuto seems to be in decline, and a game based on Hellenistic Greek myth (rather than the usual 3 Kingdoms China, Edo Japan periods) developed by Koei Canada (rather than Omega Force) is a very iffy sell imo.  Ashura has a better chance, but then CC2's track record (sales wise) is questionable and GOW clones aren't exactly decent sellers in general.  Look at Castlevania.


Never said those were 2011 games. Just 3rd party games that will be published/funded by Japanese companies in the future. Also I did say that some of them may not be released in Japan.

DQX will be 2012, I'd expect Versus to be out earlier than it tbh. Oh and it's almost obvious that Power Pros and Winning Eleven will be released in Japan. The others like Hitman 5, Conduit 2, etc I did say some of those may not be released in Japan.

BTW isn't is "Asura's Wrath"? It's spawned 275k results in Google while Ashura's Wrath only got 30k results, I'm just curious. I'd say that Troy Musou has a chance, but it'll likely be on the verge then. Asura's Wrath looks like it's easily break 100k. Even Lost Planet 2 broke 100k on the PS3, Capcom has had a good performance with the console in Japan.

My mistake about Tekken 7 though.

Edit: And I'm also not icluding games by Japanese devs that were released outside Japan already but not in Japan, or games published by Japanese companies only in Japan, like CoD.



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tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
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